Leading by a horse’s head

With the Fire Horse being predictably unpredictable, we have locked ourselves into a safe, fireproof and soundproof room with all of our prognostic tools to divine the relative movements of our favourite Earth Rooster, the Hang Seng Index.

Noxious spirits are likely to stir up trouble in the early part of the year. We see rain and pestilence in the spring; those on high ground will fare better than lowlanders. For this reason, our Rooster is likely to stumble in the first month before recovering and waddling ahead in early summer. Those planning on a fine harvest this year may be better off planting their seeds later than usual, through the spring and into summer.

The summer looks promising, with a surfeit of heat coursing through the world, except in July when a reaction to too many fire elements in the natural world combined with deliberate human actions lead to a sharp reversal of fortune. In this period, those who adapt quickly or can maintain equanimity under pressure will eventually do well.

The remainder of the year trots along in a dressage-like dance, with two steps forward, one step back. While November sees substantial progress, metal joins the winter water in December, supporting the cold stream and quenching the Fire Horse energy. A final gallop of the markets manifests in January as the goat appears on the horizon and earth mixes with metal. By this time, the Fire Horse will be exhausted by the back and forth. However, we expect the Hang Seng Rooster to make good use of the fire for the year and finish more than a horse’s head in front.

A closer look

  Galloping Horse     Hobbled Horse  
Wood  Tiger

4 Feb - 4 Mar

The competitors are on the showjumping field, or are they? Some seem to have wandered back to the stables, others appear directionless, almost wind-blown. The index is less than impressed and begins the year with a fall.

Wood  Rabbit

5 Mar - 4 Apr

The judges are now beside the course and bringing some order to proceedings. Competitors are lining up and the tournament can begin when the bell sounds. Anticipation and optimism slowly secure their seats in the stands. A modest increase.

Earth  Dragon

5 Apr - 4 May

The sun comes out, angles and shadows sharpen, the course becomes clearer, and horses are making the smaller jumps without dislodging the rails. Enthusiasm is carrying all before it and the tournament carries on. A good rise.

Fire  Snake

5 May - 4 Jun

The crowd is now focused on the arena as the better performers complete their first rounds well within the allotted time. Anticipation builds as higher fences are brought in and the second round begins. Another good climb for the index.

Fire  Horse

5 Jun - 6 Jul

The crowd is on its feet as the best showjumpers display their skills. No faults are made by the horses, no touches on the rails, no feet in the water and no refusing the jumps at any fence. This gives the index the greatest rise of the year.

Earth  Goat

7 Jul - 6 Aug

Without rhyme or reason, horses are distracted and are going the wrong way. Rails collapse of their own accord, then horses stumble. The Rooster’s fall wipes out half of the previous month’s gains.

Metal  Monkey

7 Aug - 6 Sep

The judges have taken back control of the course and rapidly patched up the detritus from the previous debacles. Soon participants are rounded up and the show is back on the road. Another fine rise.

Metal  Rooster

7 Sep - 7 Oct

The pace slows a little as some of the weaker horses stumble and tire, while some horses appear confused and recalcitrant. Mostly the show continues amid these small hiccups. A modest lift.

Earth  Dog

8 Oct - 6 Nov

We arrive at the horse latitudes, where there is no movement and the world seems frozen in time. Some competitors stand stupefied. No one can find the bell. Any movement in one direction is cancelled by the opposite. The index sleeps.

Water  Pig

7 Nov - 6 Dec

Rising from slumber, the judges goad the challengers on. Jumping is once again the main attraction and activity on the field is organised. Equestrian competitors come and go, the programme proceeds in a timely manner again. A solid rise.

Water  Rat

7 Dec - 4 Jan

And just like that, everything falls apart. Some horses wander off to seek fame and fortune elsewhere while their erstwhile trainers listen to the delusional ranting of prophets from the Land of Oats, and all is lost.

Earth  Ox

5 Jan - 3 Feb

Unknown forces rectify the scene; the tournament concludes with a rise in standards that nearly matches the recent fall. Horses return to common horse sense, trotting gracefully and jumping. The Hang Seng stands tall again!

Feng Shui Index 2026 report

Year of the Fire Horse

Sorcerer: Dr James Greenbaum
Sorcerer's apprentice: Susan Zhang
Wand bearer: Orlando Hong
Director/Editor: Yukti Vidyarthi
Translation editor: Melanie Ng
Design/Art: Lizzie Lau; Anna Lai; Elva Lau; Patrina Leung; Jon Berkeley
Web development: Paul Ngan; Timothy Wang
Video production: Luna Deng
Thanks to: Priscilla Man; Ellen Lo; Qi Qi
Producer: Liz Patterson

Launched in 1992 as a Chinese New Year card, the CLSA Feng Shui Index is a light-hearted outlook for the Hong Kong market and a well-loved firm tradition. Please note that this guide is not a research report.